WARNING - following post is bit of a rant.
TLDR: Ange style of play absolutely does not have higher ceiling than how Howe's team is playing. Examplified by number of examples in past 25 years (including from past year) in strongest football competition on the face of earth.
Post in full:
Uhm...
Sorry, I am not fully sure how to put this...
I think that it is blatantly obvious that Howe's way of playing is far higher ceiling.
There has literally only been ONE manager that has won the CL (which is the ultimate sign of quality and high ceiling) playing with this unlimited passing game with minimal directness. And this has been Pep Guardiola. Who had players like Messi, Xavi, Iniesta, Busquests etc at his disposal in Barca. And then followed up with City who has superior resources to any other club in the world.
I have no idea how you claim that approach proven in such circumstances.
And please don't come out to claim that you can count Klopp's Liverpool to that pot. The attacking patterns of Klopp Liverpool are diametrically different to way Guardiolas teams attack (and how Ange seems to want to set up us too).
After 2000s what club has won how many CLs?
- Real - 7
- Barcelona - 4
- Bayern - 3
- Chelsea, Liverpool, Milan - 2
- Inter, Porto, ManU, Manchester City - 1
I go out on a limb and say that 5 out of 24 are won with this total possession based football.
Most successful manager in competition (who is also current champion) ? - Ancellotti. If you claim that his objective is to have 65% possession, playing high line and keep play in opposition half as much as it can be done, I have to say I don't agree with you.
You know, just last season City and Real met head to head in playoff.
In these games Real had 38% of possession at home and 33% in away game.
You know who progressed? Real. Who went on to win the whole thing. Again.
So despite having unlimited funds and being on job for 8 years, this "higher ceiling" system fell to very pragmatic approach of very pragmatic coach in charge of most successful club in the world.
I obviously do not remember all of the playing style of all of the coaches in past 24 years, but I very clearly remember Jupp Heynckes Bayern absolutely demolishing Barcelona in their run to 2012-2013 CL triumph. And then came on this "high ceiling football" manager Pep who had the same squad smashed by way more pragmatic Real Madrid.
Within one decade of Bayern history from list of permanent coaches of Louis van Gaal, Jupp Heynckes, Pep Guardiola, Carlo Ancellotti, Niko Kovac, Hansi Flick - do you know who of them reached CL finals and who did not?
Managers who did - Louis Van Gaal, Jupp Heynckes (2x), Hansi Flick. Managers who did not - Pep Guardiola (after taking over team that had reached two successive finals before his reign!), Carlo Ancellotti, Niko Kovac.
So - no - having 2/3 of possession and pushing play into one third of the pitch does not have "higher ceiling". And this simplistic narrative always pisses me off. You can say that you personally prefer to watch football where your team has very high share of possession - that is subjective preference and it is totally OK. Different people, different tastes. But there is no point of claiming like this hip, cool and progressive way of playing has higher ceiling or clearly more to show for it. It does not.