The case for xGraham, more than good xg and bad strikers?
View Premier League club records, including wins, losses and goals scored, on the official website of the Premier League.
www.premierleague.com
Other stats:
Wins 9 (17th)
Loses 15 (joint 9th)
Draws 14 (1st)
Of those 15 loses, 11 were by a single goal.
Shots 487 (7th)
On target 143 (14th)
Hit the woodwork 17 (7th, Spurs top with 24!)
Clean sheets 12 (Joint 5th with us, Woolwich, Everton, Leeds and Liverpool)
Goals conceded 46 (joint 7th best, Spurs conceded 45, 6th)
Blocks 97, (7th fewest - I look at this as a positive)
Interceptions 425 (6th)
Tackles 628 (8th)
Clearances 560 (3rd fewest)
Penalties conceded 8 (8th most)
Passes 18,185 (9th)
Through Balls 17 (11th)
Long Balls 2,264 (6th )
Passes Backward 2,777 (11th)
Croses 686 (10th)
Brighton detailed xG stat for the 2020/2021 season. Data for players, different formations, situations, game states and etc.
understat.com
Dreaded xg stats
Actually worth clicking the link, anything with a red number beside it is underperforming the xg (by the value of the red number) and similarly green is over performing.
Anyway...
xG from:
Open Play- 39.39 (+12.39)
Corner-5.61 (+0.61)
Set Piece- 2.77 (+0.77)
Direct Free kick- 0.89 (+0.89)
Penalty - 6.85 (+0.85)
Marginally underperform in set pieces, massively under perform from open play shots.
Shot zones:
Out of box- 5.84 (-0.16)
Penalty area- 36.27 (+11.27)
Six-yard box-12.39 (+4.39)
Vast majority of shots they waste are in the penalty area.
Shooting results:
Missed shot - 16.48 (+16.48)
Blocked shot - 10.04 (+10.04)
Goal - 14.64 (-25.36)
Saved shot - 11.34 (+11.34)
Shot on post - 3.01 (+3.01)
For comparison, the same stats for Spurs:
Missed shot - 12.16 (+12.16)
Blocked shot - 7.27 (+7.27)
Goal - 24.45 (-43.55)
Saved shot - 12.89 (+12.89)
Shot on post - 3.07 (+3.07)
Shows what decent strikers can do!
The Understat final table shows Brighton scored 40, but their xg was 53.82 - they should have scored a lot more.
Similarly for us, we had 68 goals with an xg of 56.68 - thanks to Kane/Son/Bale we really over performed.
Defensively Brighton conceded 46 on an xGA of 39.91 so let in a few more than expected. We conceded 45 on an xGA of 52.55, so believe it or not this metric thinks we overperformed defensively!
Finally, with the table sorted by xPTS Spurs would finish 7th, Brighton 5th!
Now, believe it or not, Im not a stat acolyte, I dont believe xg is the be all/end all and dont worship at the alter of xGraham thanks to the magical xg numbers. However...
I do think when you put together more stats than just xg, it does paint a picture of a team outperforming its results considerably in all areas bar finishing - which really does look like an issue . And with Welbeck or Maupay (6 and 8 goals) as your main man is it a surprise?
Brighton are a comprehensively good team, in every aspect bar finishing the chances they create - and I do believe if Potter ran Spurs in a similar fashion we would do very well for ourselves.
I am certainly in favour of him coming in, as I do believe there is more to him than most of the naysayers believe.
He would probably be my favourite choice, but of course Im open to any quality manager that fits. Ten Hag would make me very happy too!
Over all though, I think those that blindly dismiss Potter could do a lot worse than take a closer look.