Ok let’s do that. And we are doing pretty shit.
But at Christmas we are still going to be closer to 5th than 18th. So as shit as we are other teams are worse. Which is all that decides relegation.
The team in 18th need to win 3 games just to catch us up. And their GD is -16 to our +3 so actually they need to win 4 games to go above us.
Reality. They have won 3 games all season.
A very simple way to look at it. If I gave you £10k today with the option to stick it on Spurs finishing somewhere between 5th and 17th or 18th - 20th. What would you do?
For context 18th West Ham are currently odds on to go down. Spurs you can get 40-1.
If you bet on us to go down you might as well just set fire to £10k. Which is fine if you are the KLF. (One for the kids there).
The bookies rarely fuck up - that’s a big difference in odds.
(They actually think there more chance of City being relegated than Spurs thanks to this court case. )
So as the song goes “we are staying up!! Say we are staying up!!”
Edit Over last 10 games West Ham have 1 more point than us.
Last 6 we have 1 more point than them.
So if form is the decider here they need approx 100 games to catch us if we are purely talking about relegation form.