The outliers are the ones that are accurate to the statement.
The correlation tends to be that the Top 6 are usually finishing in the Top 6, and pay the Top 6 of money. But that's incredibly lazy when the argument is thrown around, because it is actually used to stress than 6th highest paid Tottenham are not challenging for the title (or getting top 4).
There have been only two distinct teams to have won the PL in the last 8 seasons. 6 were Man City, and 2 were Liverpool.
Both times Liverpool won the title they were 5th in the 'wages' table.
The 2nd place Woolwich finishes of 22/23, 23/24, and 24/25 saw them 6th, 3rd, and 4th
| Season | Champions | Runner-up | Third Place | Fourth Place |
| 24/25 | Liverpool [5th] | Woolwich [4th] | Man City [1st] | Chelsea [3rd] |
| 23/24 | Man City [2nd] | Woolwich [3rd] | Liverpool [5th] | Aston Villa [7th] |
| 22/23 | Man City [2nd] | Woolwich [6th] | Man Utd [1st] | Newcastle [9th] |
| 21/22 | Man City [3rd] | Liverpool [4th] | Chelsea [2nd] | Tottenham [6th] |
| 20/21 | Man City [4th] | Man Utd [1st] | Liverpool [6th] | Chelsea [2nd] |
| 19/20 | Liverpool [5th] | Man City [2nd] | Man Utd [1st] | Chelsea [3rd] |
So, on a really high level look at the "top four" over the last 6 PL seasons
- The highest salary budget has not won the league
- The second highest budget has only actually finished 2nd once
- The third highest has not finshed 3rd
- The fourth highest has not finished 4th
Out of 24 finishing spots over 6 seasons:
- it has only been predictive with regards to the salary table for 1 out of 24 finishing spots.
- Every title winner has over-achieved with respect to the salary table
- 15 out of the 24 finishing spots have "over-achieved" with respect to their salary ranking
- 8 out of the 24 have been clubs that have had a salary outside of a 'top 4' salary, including 2 of the title winners and 1 of the runners up
- The 3rd highest salary payers have only finished in the top 4 in 4 out of 6 seasons (66%), and the 4th highest only in 3 of the 6 (50%)
So highest statistical odds there to win the title are to have 2nd or 5th highest wage budget