As Chiellini said last week, 'Attackers sell tickets, but defenders win the league.' In Europe, the dominoes are beginning to fall...
theathletic.com
On the one hand, the swirl of centre-back interest can be explained by a simple market dynamic of Club A needing to replace a player going to Club B. It’s merely circumstantial. On the other, the swell of players in the position moving this window is, to an extent, a consequence of a tactical trend. More and more elite clubs are playing with a back three. Chelsea won the
Champions League with one in 2021.
Eintracht Frankfurt and Roma became
Europa League and Conference League champions deploying the same set-up in 2022. Bayern and Dortmund were often seen in the same three-man outfit last season and at his introductory press conference, Christophe Galtier, the new coach of PSG, said: “We’re thinking about playing a back three.”
It’s why the French champions have been in prolonged talks with Inter Milan about the acquisition of Milan Skriniar. The Slovakia captain has operated in a back three since moving to San Siro five years ago, first as a stop-gap on the left and then moving to the right once Alessandro Bastoni returned from his
Serie A internship with Parma. The anticipated Skriniar-sized hole in Inter’s defence will have to be plugged with Fiorentina’s towering Serb Nikola Milenkovic, while the league’s defender of the year Gleison Bremer is expected to succeed the ageing Stefan de Vrij and swap Torino’s back three for a new one.
The defence Antonio Conte turned into Italy’s best is changing in personnel just as he is equipping Tottenham’s to align more closely with his own philosophy. After replacing Nuno Espirito Santo last November, Conte settled on a makeshift configuration with
Ben Davies,
Eric Dier and last summer’s big signing
Cristian Romero. The season-long loan in the works with Barcelona for Clement Lenglet isn’t the sexiest option, but it is functional and that’s all that matters to Conte, who wants his wide centre-backs to step into midfield and participate in attacks.
By utilising a back three rather than an orthodox centre-back partnership, teams need more cover and need five defenders for those positions rather than four. Manchester United, for instance, have six and weren’t expected to be in the market for a centre-back this summer, especially after the signing of
Raphael Varane last season. But here they are again rivalling Woolwich for Lisandro Martinez, the diminutive midfielder-turned-centre-back, as Erik ten Hag assembles a team with recruits schooled in the Ajax way. As with Lenglet at Tottenham, Martinez would redress the balance at United where the two-footed Varane is the only leftie at centre-back.
The demand for these players, as my former colleague Tom Worville
analysed, is especially high, particularly with playing out from the back and build-up becoming ever more important to this generation of coaches. It’s a factor in the interest both Manchester clubs and Tottenham have shown in Villarreal’s Pau Torres and was incidental in the valuation of
Sven Botman, who finally moved to
Newcastle at the end of last month for €37 million plus add-ons. The consideration Chelsea are giving to bringing
Nathan Ake back for another spell at the club owes something to Malang Sarr being the only leftie Tuchel can call on at centre-back.
Whether a new record fee will be set for a player in this position over the summer remains to be seen. United set a high bar by paying
Leicester €87 million for a 26-year-old
Harry Maguire, a price influenced by interest from City and what Liverpool had invested in
Virgil van Dijk 18 months earlier.
Some believe the valuations reflect scarcity and the dwindling pool of top centre-backs.
Premier League clubs can, for the most part, afford to overpay and make mistakes because the league’s model allows it. Rolling on the existing domestic TV deal and signing bigger and better international rights deals mean it is by far the wealthiest league in the world. It’s why Bayern signing Hernandez and Juventus paying what they did for De Ligt constitute outliers unless, that is, both clubs were counting on the stock in centre-backs continuing to rise with a view to then selling to PSG or an English club for a profit later down the road.
Other sporting directors look at it in terms of opportunity cost and won’t risk paying more than €30 million or €40 million for a centre-back for the simple reason the difference in player quality is marginal and if the big money centre-back gets injured or flops, the club loses a lot of money that it won’t make back.
It’s a fascinating sector of the market, particularly when you look at the hinges on which Premier League title races have swung in recent years. In 2019-20, you could argue it was
Aymeric Laporte’s injury. In 2020-21, you could argue it was Van Dijk’s. Anecdotal it may be, but Chiellini couldn’t help himself at his unveiling with LAFC last week. “Attackers sell tickets,” he said. “But defenders win the league.”