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I still wouldn't mind a Leicester win to be honest - no games are easy in the Premier League and Woolwich losing again and us going further ahead of them as well as City with a better goal difference yet staying the same distance behind Leicester is a positive in my book.
 
Totti said:
I still wouldn't mind a Leicester win to be honest - no games are easy in the Premier League and Woolwich losing again and us going further ahead of them as well as City with a better goal difference yet staying the same distance behind Leicester is a positive in my book.
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I'm hoping for a draw in the Leicester game but by no means would I be upset if Leicester win
 
spurs-goals_3574107b.jpg
 
...and so onto our conversion rate (again).....
gvDacrb.png

Again courtesy of Objective Football: 2015/16 Main Table
Data updated on 03 Feb.
We still lag the league average with our conversion rate (SoTR For/Goals For).
Simply put we are not making the best of our chances to score or, many of those chances are, at best, half-chances or worse.
GF, Shots F, SoT F...collectively, we're the best in the league (maybe apart from ManC).
This is why I look at stats and why tomorrow I want to see clinical finishing.
 
HeroesAndVillains said:
To be fair I reckon they're nailed on for fourth.
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No, I do agree. But what makes them 99% and not us or even Leicester? - I mean Leicester are above them and based on their season and results they've got this season, you'd think they'd be certain to. They are 12 points clear of 5th place with a better goal difference. That's a 5 game swing with 12 games left.
 
Totti said:
No, I do agree. But what makes them 99% and not us or even Leicester? - I mean Leicester are above them and based on their season and results they've got this season, you'd think they'd be certain to. They are 12 points clear of 5th place with a better goal difference. That's a 5 game swing with 12 games left.
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The data put into his algorithm suggest Woolwich and us two points behind are likely to end on a higher points total.

Don't know how much it's based on but it's probably a mixture of form, shots on goal for and against, chances created, clear cut chances conceded and so on. The reason Woolwich are favourites ahead of us is probably because it's weighted with a track record from seasons before this, at least last season.
 
It's interesting to see that Caley have us 1% more likely to win the title than Leicester, but as likely to end top four. Might have something to do with rounding the numbers, or there's two different algorithms.

"Interesting"
 
HeroesAndVillains said:
It's interesting to see that Caley have us 1% more likely to win the title than Leicester, but as likely to end top four. Might have something to do with rounding the numbers, or there's two different algorithms.

"Interesting"
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We have Woolwich at home and thus, unlike Leicester, still a 6-pointer left this season against the team his system rates top. That game means a whole lot more to the title race than the top 4 race, would be my reasoning....
 
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