The
Premier League article from 23/24 shows that 38 points would have kept us from being relegated in something close to 20-21 out of the last 23 seasons.
However, the points distribution this season shows that pretty much 45% of our points (17 points) were gained against the bottom 5 sides, excluding us [depressing to type].
26.3% (10 points) were gained from the bottom 3. That's one of the worst groups of bottom 3 in the PL history. 10 points out of a possible 18.
9 of those points against Everton, West Ham, and Man Utd came from our early season form. It's really worrying how comfortable people who are being vocally 'Ange In' are with how fine the margins are between the season we had and a 20-something point season. It was 0.78 points per game from MW10 to MW38.