To CatGPT: Today is 23rd February 2026. With quite a few league games left to play, given those games and the form and capabilities of the teams, which 3 teams do you think will be relegated from the Premier League by the end of the 2025/2026 season?
Here’s a friendly, data-informed take on
which three teams look most likely to be relegated from the Premier League in the 2025/26 season, based on current league position, form, and bookmakers’ odds (as of 23 Feb 2026):
Most Likely to Be Relegated
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
- By far the biggest favourites for relegation across multiple betting markets — often priced at essentially “certain” to go down.
- Wolves have struggled dramatically this season, with one of the lowest points totals in the league and a negative goal difference that’s tough to overcome.
- Burnley
- Burnley are also heavily tipped to drop back to the Championship. They’ve been hovering well below the survival threshold for much of the campaign, and the gap to safety remains significant.
- Historically, newly promoted teams often find it hard to adjust to Premier League intensity, and Burnley haven’t picked up enough wins to suggest a turnaround yet.
- West Ham United (or alternately a form-slipping side like Nottingham Forest or Leeds)
- West Ham are priced as a big relegation contender, with odds around 5/6 to go down, showing how tight their season has been.
- Current form shows some improvement, but they’re still near the bottom and only a few points above the drop zone, meaning another poor run could send them over the line.
- Alternative picks: Nottingham Forest and Leeds United have also flirted with danger and could be pulled into the bottom three, especially if results go against them in key fixtures.
Why These Picks?
- Points gap & form: Wolves and Burnley have consistently been behind the pack in both points and recent form.
- Odds consensus: Bookmakers across different platforms agree these two are the most likely to go down, with West Ham next in the queue.
- Fluid battle above them: Teams like Forest and Leeds are much closer to safety and have examples of better recent results, meaning they’re on the nicer side of the relegation dogfight — but it’s still tight.
If you want, I can break this down further with
projected tables or
what each team needs in their remaining games to survive — that helps make these kinds of predictions even clearer!
How will Spurs do?
Here’s a clear, current picture of
how Tottenham Hotspur are doing this 2025/26 Premier League season and what that might mean for the rest of the campaign
Current Situation (as of 23 Feb 2026)
- Spurs are sitting around 16th place in the Premier League table, just a few points above the relegation zone (roughly 4–5 points clear).
- Their recent form has been very poor, with long winless stretches in the league and more losses than you’d expect for a club of their size.
- Managerial change has just happened — Thomas Frank was sacked and Igor Tudor has taken over in hopes of turning things around.
Relegation Risk — Not Zero, But Not Most Likely
- Bookmakers have at times priced Spurs’ relegation odds around 6/1 to 9/1, which implies a noticeable but not huge risk of dropping out of the Premier League by season’s end.
- Statistical models like Opta’s have recently placed their relegation probability in the low single-digit percentages (around ~3–4%) — meaning survival is still far more likely than going down.
What’s Behind Those Numbers
Why Spurs are in trouble:
- Poor league form right now, with too few wins and too many draws/losses.
- Injury issues and squad confidence problems have hampered performance. Reporters and pundits note a psychological slump in recent weeks.
Why Spurs are still expected to survive:
- They’re still ahead of the bottom three by several points, so there’s a buffer to exploit with improved results.
- Even despite the slump, models and odds still give them a significantly higher chance to stay up than to go down, which fits with how these predictions tend to weigh league position and strength of squad.
Outlook for the Rest of the Season
Most realistic scenario right now:
Tottenham
fight successfully to stay up, perhaps with a run of a few wins that pulls them comfortably clear of danger. Their manager will be judged on building confidence and tightening up the defence.
But if their current winless trend continues, and especially if rivals around them start picking up points,
the relegation scrap could get very tense — although many analysts still see survival as the more likely outcome.
Bottom line: Spurs are in a surprising relegation battle rather than comfortably mid-table right now, but most models and bookmakers still see them as more likely to
stay in the Premier League than go down — with their risk elevated but not among the very highest.
Would you like a quick look at Spurs’ upcoming fixtures? That can give a feel for whether they might start picking up points soon.
Yes, where do you see Spurs picking up points?
Absolutely — looking at
Tottenham’s remaining Premier League fixtures for the 2025/26 season (based on the official league schedule), here’s where I’d expect them to realistically pick up points

and where they’ll likely struggle

:
5 Mar — vs Crystal Palace (Home)
This is one of the most favourable fixtures on the run-in. Palace are currently mid-table and inconsistent; Spurs at home
should be strong contenders for at least a draw — if not all three points.
22 Mar — vs Nottingham Forest (Home)
Forest are in the bottom half and closer to a relegation battle. A home game gives Spurs a good chance to secure points against a fellow struggler.
18 Apr — vs Brighton & Hove Albion (Home)
Brighton often rotate and struggle on the road. At home this is another chance to grind out a result, especially if Spurs have gained some momentum by then.
9 May — vs Leeds United (Home)
Late-season home matches against teams outside the very top tier are where Spurs could really make gains — especially if Leeds are still fighting for survival too.
24 May — vs Everton (Home)
Final day clashes can be vital in a relegation scrap, and hosting a side like Everton, who have been wavering themselves, presents a good opportunity to pick up points.
1 Mar — at Fulham
Away to a team in the top half is never straightforward — Fulham have been steady and could be hard to beat on their own turf.
15 Mar — at Liverpool
A trip to one of the league’s stronger teams is a difficult assignment. Draw possible, win less likely.
11 Apr — at Sunderland
Sunderland have been scrappy and tough to break down at home — this will be one of Spurs’ trickiest away games.
2 May — at Aston Villa
Villa typically make life difficult and are more consistent than most current bottom-half sides. Away here is a challenge.
How This Helps Spurs Avoid Relegation
- There are several winnable matches, mostly at home against sides that aren’t top-tier (Crystal Palace, Nottingham Forest, Brighton, Leeds, Everton).
- Spurs need to turn home advantage into points — draws help, but wins here would be huge for breathing space.
- Away games will be tougher, but grinding out a couple of draws could be just as important if the relegation battle stays tight.
What It All Means:
Tottenham’s pathway to safety leans heavily on
capitalising at home and avoiding heavy defeats on the road. They’ve got enough fixtures against mid-table and lower-mid teams that, if they gel under Tudor,
they absolutely have opportunities to climb out of trouble. The pressure will be on in April and May, though — every point will count.
If you’d like, I can highlight the
most crucial “six-pointer” matches — games against direct relegation rivals where results could swing the drop fight. Just say!