alexwooty
as you know this is my favourite thread but i have one small favour can you do a relegation odds thread. With Woolwich as one of runners. You can currently get 67-1 which i might get on just for thefun of it.
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I'm scared to think poor Wooty's 2020 graph collection has been grim viewing so far... Football aside.alexwooty any chance we can have the latest graphs. Please.
Yes, think it is all about the bets, which will reflect what people betting think will happen, though not necessarily the mathematical odds (which in any case are probably impossible to know with any degree of accuracy).Skybet make me crack up.
Odds were 7-1 then went out to 10-1 for no reason, we hadn't played or moved positions.
We then beat City and it goes down to 5-1 and stays there after we stay top.
And today it goes down to 11-2 for no reason with Chelsea above us now despite being below us in real life.
City, who have scored 10 goals all season and are in the bottom half are 5-2
Man United, who won their first home games after the Xmas decs went up, on a penalty, are 25-1
It's surely all down to number of bets and barely anything to do with actual performances.
That's how they make money though. If anyone is daft enough to look and think "wow, I can get 25-1 on United and Ole's at the wheel...it's easy money!" That's easy money for sure, for the house. The oddsmakers know exactly what they're doing with those kinds of bets. Occasionally, the put out Leicester at 5000-1 or something and they get caught, but mostly those odds are just fantasy and it's free money for the house.Skybet make me crack up.
Odds were 7-1 then went out to 10-1 for no reason, we hadn't played or moved positions.
We then beat City and it goes down to 5-1 and stays there after we stay top.
And today it goes down to 11-2 for no reason with Chelsea above us now despite being below us in real life.
City, who have scored 10 goals all season and are in the bottom half are 5-2
Man United, who won their first home games after the Xmas decs went up, on a penalty, are 25-1
It's surely all down to number of bets and barely anything to do with actual performances.
Yes. I used to do a lot of betting and I definitely think the value is more often found in backing short-priced favourites (which goes against what most people think) rather than the massive underdogs- or at least it was back then. I remember reading something written by an insider about bookies taking less of a risk with the long odds than with the short prices.That's how they make money though. If anyone is daft enough to look and think "wow, I can get 25-1 on United and Ole's at the wheel...it's easy money!" That's easy money for sure, for the house. The oddsmakers know exactly what they're doing with those kinds of bets. Occasionally, the put out Leicester at 5000-1 or something and they get caught, but mostly those odds are just fantasy and it's free money for the house.
I have a buddy who wrote some computer code to try and win money at horse racing and he said as much—that the long shots were always bad bets but occasionally you could find a good value among one of the favorites.Yes. I used to do a lot of betting and I definitely think the value is more often found in backing short-priced favourites (which goes against what most people think) rather than the massive underdogs- or at least it was back then. I remember reading something written by an insider about bookies taking less of a risk with the long odds than with the short prices.
Errrr has the Woolwich filter been removed?Paging alexwooty to his glorious thread.
We’re gonna need to see the CL winners odds graph including Arsenals badge rooted on 0% please. Regular updates required for max hilarity.
Maybe putting an "s" on the end bypassed it ?Errrr has the Woolwich filter been removed?
Deserved. I broke the law. Ignorance is no defence. (Insert woolwich joke here).Disgusting. Rocket sin bin vote cast.