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Tactics TFC's Tactical Autopsy Thread

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Apparently 25/26, 10/11, 94/95 and 22/23 in that order lead the way in terms of the % of goals scored from corners, with 25/26 standing out as a true outlier compared to even these three much less the remaining more ordinary seasons.

It's possible that other forms of set pieces, especially throw-ins, could change the math in favour of this season even further. And it's also true that looking at only the top 4 seasons makes it more difficult to discern whatever historical patterns that might exist. But it still seems quite random to me.

This season could be the beginning of a new era where a new record is set every season or something, but we haven't seen enough yet to reach to a definite conclusion .
 
:mourcheeks:
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Those previously common sitting Xth with only Y points away from Zth posts are becoming rarer I think, most people in varying degrees are coming around to the idea that we haven't been nearly as good as our current place in the table suggests. They may still balk at damn nerds and their xGs and other metrics, but they're grasping on an intuitive level what these measures are telling us with numbers and graphs and charts.

FBref has us 15th in xG and 16th in xGA at the moment, with a worse difference than Wolves'. Calling these trends worrying would be an understatement of the highest order at this point.
 
Those previously common sitting Xth with only Y points away from Zth posts are becoming rarer I think, most people in varying degrees are coming around to the idea that we haven't been nearly as good as our current place in the table suggests. They may still balk at damn nerds and their xGs and other metrics, but they're grasping on an intuitive level what these measures are telling us with numbers and graphs and charts.

FBref has us 15th in xG and 16th in xGA at the moment, with a worse difference than Wolves'. Calling these trends worrying would be an understatement of the highest order at this point.
I've been saying this for like 6 weeks now, after the Villarreal game I think. Our results nowhere near reflected performances and I don't think people understand just how much we were over performing offensively and defensively. Now results are beginning to match performances.

The table after 18 games is going to look fucking grim, there won't be any more of the "stop overreacting, look where are in the table", thank God. We've been pathetic.
 
We are just so easy to press, because none of Palhinha, Bentancur or Sarr have any press resistance.


How Chelsea’s press smothered Spurs – the perfect illustration of exploiting weakness​


Summarise

Ahmed Walid
In the Premier League, if you are having difficulties in a certain phase of play, the top teams will always punish you.

This season, under Thomas Frank, Tottenham Hotspur have been experiencing some issues when progressing the ball up the pitch, leaving them overly dependent on long passes from Pedro Porro and Cristian Romero.

Despite a glimpse of positivity in some of Spurs’ recent away trips, Chelsea’s high press smothered them and exploited their ball-progression problems.

“The high pressure they came with, I don’t think we solved it well enough, even though we worked on it,” said Frank after Chelsea’s 1-0 victory against his side.

Chelsea’s press started from a lopsided 4-3-3, with Pedro Neto focusing on Micky van de Ven and Alejandro Garnacho keeping an eye on Porro. In midfield, Reece James and Enzo Fernandez marked Rodrigo Bentancur and Joao Palhinha, but the orchestrator of the press was Joao Pedro.

The Brazil centre-forward started centrally and harried Kevin Danso when Guglielmo Vicario played the ball to his right centre-back. Joao Pedro pressed Danso from an angle that prevented the latter from going back to his goalkeeper, locking Tottenham down their right side.

There, Moises Caicedo and Marc Cucurella were marking Pape Matar Sarr and Mohammed Kudus, while Garnacho, James and Fernandez’s pressing roles limited Danso’s passing options.

One of Tottenham’s solutions was Xavi Simons’ narrow position in midfield, but Malo Gusto tracked his movement when the ball was on the far side.

Chelsea_press_1.gif


In the above example, Caicedo intercepts Danso’s pass to Sarr, but Palhinha wins the loose ball and squares it to Simons.

The Netherlands midfielder fails to control the ball and James wins it back. However, it’s important to notice Gusto’s pressing role which puts him in a position that prevents Simons from overloading the centre of the pitch.

Chelsea_press_1.png


In another example, Joao Pedro presses Danso from an angle that prevents him from going back to Vicario, while Garnacho, Fernandez and James are marking Porro, Palhinha and Bentancur.

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Sarr drops to provide a passing option, but Caicedo can comfortably press him because Chelsea are covering the other choices. When Sarr plays the ball to Porro, the options are still limited because Joao Pedro is blocking the pass back to Danso, Cucurella is tight on Kudus, and Gusto is tracking Simons’ movement to defend the switch of play.

Porro tries to play the ball forward, but Garnacho’s block puts Joao Pedro in a one-v-one situation.

Chelsea_press_2.gif


Chelsea’s out-of-possession approach varied when Tottenham were in a position to build down their left side.

With Neto pressing Van de Ven, Wesley Fofana had to push up and mark Simons to free Gusto. This way, Chelsea’s right-back can press Djed Spence without worrying about Simons’ narrow position.

Chelsea_press_2.png


Here, Gusto realises that Tottenham can circulate the ball towards their left side, with Simons in position to attack the space behind Fernandez and James, who are pressing higher up the pitch.

Gusto signals to Fofana to pick up Simons, before he dashes towards Spence as Tottenham circulate the ball towards the left side. By the time the ball reaches Van de Ven, Fofana is in position to track Simons and prevent him from overloading the midfield.

Meanwhile, Gusto is free to press Spence, who doesn’t have a clear passing option.

Chelsea_press_3.gif


Palhinha tries to attack the space down the left wing, but Chelsea’s man-to-man locking means that James can track him and intercept the pass.

Chelsea_press_3.png


The most impressive thing about Chelsea’s press against Tottenham was that they covered the majority of Tottenham’s solutions.

Caicedo’s profile and pressing awareness meant that he can play a hybrid role depending on how Spurs were going to build up: jumping up to man-mark Sarr if Tottenham wanted to combine and defending the left side zonally if they went direct.

In this example, Chelsea’s press is operating as normal, but Caicedo drops to defend the second ball when Danso goes long towards Kudus. Unfortunately, it falls to Palhinha and Sarr is in position to attack the space, but Trevoh Chalobah is covering the depth and stops the attack.

Chelsea could afford this pressing approach when Tottenham went direct because their left-side press constantly left Spence unmarked, providing them with a free centre-back.

Chelsea_press_4.gif


The reason Chelsea’s press differed from one side to another — man-marking on the right, and hybrid down the left — is because Tottenham are more likely to go direct through Danso, Romero or Porro.

Here, Enzo Maresca’s side are pressing down the left with Caicedo maintaining a distance from Simons. The Ecuador midfielder’s acceleration means that he can cover Simons if Porro goes short, while being in position to support the defence if Tottenham’s right-back went direct.

Porro tries to play a long pass towards Kudus and Richarlison, who are marked by Cucurella and Chalobah, but Caicedo intercepts it, with Fofana acting as the safety net in the back.

Chelsea_press_5.gif


“The performance was very good on the ball and off the ball,” said Maresca after the match. “For sure, the way we tried to press was very important, but I also think our game against Liverpool off the ball was a top game.

“If you want to be close to the top, you need to be defensively solid.”

Maresca’s side prevented Tottenham from progressing the ball throughout the match, and restricted them to three shots worth 0.05 expected goals (xG) — Spurs’ lowest xG in a Premier League game since 2012-13.

The high press from Chelsea was a perfect illustration how, at the top level of the Premier League, weaknesses are exploited.
 
I don't read the game through stats, but stumbled on the prem XG table (to date).

Some might find it interesting.

Did split screen screenshots to compare with actual league positions.

XG1.jpg


XG2.jpg


The XG scores:

XG-Scores1.jpg

XG-Scores-2.jpg
 
This pattern of play where;

Vicario inside the box opens his arms wide to signal centre backs to flank him with ball in his feet.
Rolls it to one of the two so that the recipient can start running wide with it before forcing a low percentage mid range pass to a crowd.

does nothing honestly, other than a great passer like Romero landing one once in a while. All that waiting by Vicario, just him doing what he is instructed to do by the way, ensures that opponents are already man marking everybody pretty tightly. Bournemouth and Chelsea were prime examples, but they certainly weren't alone.

The point I guess is to invite the press to the fullest before breaking it, but then we should be taking some calculated risks at times by playing it through the middle. As it currently stands we're constantly being trapped outside by any half decent team, making all this hassle pointless. Might as well tell Vicario to kick it long to a wide player himself.
 
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