Jose Mourinho’s familiar dance
There are five rough stages of Mourinho’s management. Each one is skipped through quickly or extended depending on the success of the job. Sometimes the second stage lasts two years, sometimes far less:
1) Mourinho is appointed. He embarks upon a charm offensive in which he praises the squad, implies that he doesn’t need many new players to make them champions and reinforces the club’s statement that he is the right man – perhaps even the best man – to achieve success. If he has had recent unsuccessful experience, he may suggest that he is a changed man.
2) Mourinho is successful. Here, all is well. Mourinho is chipper and smiley and gripes are kept to a minimum. His general air is of a successful local butcher, meeting customers with a wave and reminding them that he has the best produce in the business. The intimation (and it’s often fully justified) is that Mourinho has made the players realise that they were good enough to win titles and in doing so mande them as champion players.
3) Mourinho suffers a dip. He begins to blame individuals for their mistakes and, if the style isn’t pleasing, insists that he has told the team to play differently but that they are not listening. In this stage, Mourinho is spiky in press conferences and may make reference to other clubs as a means of managing expectations. He needs new players in key positions to complement the few champion players that he possesses.
4) Mourinho’s football falls in on itself. Mourinho’s sides become laboured in attack and are punished for their mistakes. He views this as deeply unfair, as if other managers are not forced to suffer such rotten luck or incompetence. Mourinho also changes tact: Rather than the players being good enough, they are now fully at fault and must own their mediocrity. This is where the initial insistence of their strength is key, because it presents the argument that they have previously proven themselves good enough and so are falling short of their own standards. The comparisons with other clubs increase; they have more money so what more can he do?
5) Mourinho enters self-protection mode. Everything and anyone that questions his own role in the slump is deemed guilty of failing to spot the real problems. Mourinho repeats his previous successes as proof that he is the champion and the players have not matched his standards. Individual mistakes, of which there are many, are treated with a reaction as if to say “You see what I’m having to deal with?”. The siege mentality established in stage two becomes a siege of one person: Mourinho vs the world.
On the surface, some of Mourinho’s defence stands up. Tottenham are making individual errors. Senior players are under-performing. But there are two things to explore here. The first is that mistakes at the highest level happen not because of a lack of talent but through a lack of confidence. And it’s reasonable to question whether that lack of confidence stems from players (either those who have made mistakes or their teammates) being harangued in public by their manager.
But it’s also about how Tottenham’s system that Mourinho has implemented (and if he says he’s asking them to play differently then it’s down to him to motivate them or communicate his concerns more successfully). They sit back so much and so often that individual mistakes stick out more because they are rarely atoned by attacking brilliance (see Ruben Dias’ mistake against Liverpool last weekend). If Tottenham attacked more effectively, the defensive issues would resonate far less.
And why are those mistakes happening so frequently? Might it not be because you’re more likely to get caught in possession if nobody has moved into space to receive the pass? And more likely to clear it long and cede possession rather than try and retain it because either way it just keeps coming back?
Tottenham have a pair of wonderful attacking artists who are being used to whitewash grey walls. Against Chelsea and Manchester City, just two recent examples, they have set up with a counter-attacking plan but barely bothered to counter. The only real chance on Saturday came from a free-kick.
There have been 233 matches in the Premier League this season, and so 466 ‘opportunities’ for a team to touch the ball in the opposition box. Of those 466 opportunities, only 12 times (2.6%) has a team had six touches in the box or fewer in a game. Here’s nine of those 12: Crystal Palace, Newcastle, Wolves, West Brom (twice), Southampton (twice), Fulham (twice). Tottenham account for the other three, more than any other club. No other club in the top half even features.
For a Big Six team with their attacking options (and general level of player), that’s simply not good enough. It has worked very well on occasion (Tottenham touched the ball in Southampton’s box eight times in a 5-2 win in September), but when it doesn’t it invites criticism partly because it’s not particularly good to watch and because it raises the question of whether Tottenham might be able to do a little more.
That’s exactly where Tottenham are now. Occasionally in his management he has been able to loop his typical career arc, adding in a bonus Stage 2) part way through we all believe he’s entered Stage 4). But not often. Even the Tottenham supporters who were happy to welcome a results-only manager were likely to lose patience when the results tailed off, because without them what evidence do you have that this way is the best way?