No worries. I just saw a cheap opportunity to bash the stats nerds. You stats people can’t even agree on what the stats are.
There’s no hope for people who just watch football.
Leave me in the dark ages.
Nothing wrong with stats, as long as you view them in conjunction with what you see on the pitch. They only tell part of the story on their own.
Villa created 2 high quality chances in the first half, the corner and the chance that Watkins got as close to the corner flag as he did to the goal. They also had Ramsey's chance which deflected over. That's 3 opportunities which produce high xG. So, you could look at the value of the xG alone and think that Villa were unlucky, but if you look at them in the full game context, they were the only 3 chances of note that they created over the full 100+ minutes played.
Against a top 4 rival, you have to expect that they will create chances, anyone thinking that we would strangle every opportunity is living in cloud cuckoo land.
So yes, they created 3 good chances. One they scored, one they cocked up, and one we defended well.
On the other hand, we created 5-6 good to excellent chances, finishing 3 of them superbly, with the last (I think FK's have a low xG score) just beautifully taken.
This is where the stats can be somewhat misleading without the benefit of actually seeing the game. It wasn't an end to end lottery game, we controlled the game in the main. We might not have possessed the ball like we usually do, but we controlled the areas that Villa had possession in, cut their passing avenues, and forced them to make rushed passes that we were able to pick off. Two of our goals came from turnovers.
Incidentally, all 4 goals were beautifully worked goals, which seems to be a fairly regular occurrence of late. xG won't show that to you, which is why it should only be used as a part of the whole and not used to tell the whole story. We were comfortably the better team yesterday.