AVB

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From everything I've heard and read about AVB's appointment, he just had a very good job interview and by all accounts he impressed the board so much with his 'project' that the board decided on him. The problem was that AVB's expectation was that Levy would back his player acquisition requests and the fact is we just couldn't compete with Man City, Chelsea, Shaktar, PSG etc who were the teams who eventually got the players he wanted. What AVB got isn't a bad squad, it's a fucking good squad, AVB just isn't as good a coach as he thinks he is and couldn't adapt his tactics to fit our players.
tbh it's pretty stupid of Levy not to discuss player acquisitions before hiring AVB or any manager.
 
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To be fair to AVB, the Newcastle result was a freak one. Nine times out of ten we'd have hammered them with that many shots on target. We were fucking rank in the other matches, mind.
It was the best out of the lot, but I don't know if we can call it a freak result considering it's surrounded by those other ones. Regardless, none of these results alone caused the sacking, every team has bad days, bad luck, whatever, but together it's pretty obvious why he got sacked is what I'm saying.
 
I wanted to look at this on a results basis.

After 16 games:
2013/14 - 27 points
2012/13 - 26 points
2011/12 - 35 points
2010/11 - 26 points
2009/10 - 27 points
2008/09 - 19 points
2007/08 - 15 points
2006/07 - 22 points
2005/06 - 30 points
2004/05 - 19 points

All in all, 27 points doesn't seem that bad. Historically, we are not used to much better. It's not a blistering start to the season, but hardly terrible. We're currently just 6 points from 2nd place, having played all of the top 8. The 1.69 points per game so far accrued would be good for 64-65 points. In every season in recent memory, 65 points would be good enough for 5th place. While it's hardly ideal, if we were to carry on at this rate without improving whatsoever we would probably finish 5th. And why wouldn't we improve? AVB was attempting to incorporate 7 new signings into a team that was sorely missing one of the best players in the world. He needed more time to get Lamela and Soldado firing. The game against Liverpool which ultimately proved to be the tonne of shit that broke the camel's back was played with numerous defensive injuries and a red card that left AVB with very few options. While the defeat was fucking horrible, as were the two to Man City and West Ham, in isolation they are just defeats. Zero points, move on. It hurts to be spanked but it was basically beyond the manager's control. I'm pretty sure no-one told Kyle Naughton to play like an Asian gambling syndicate had informed him that they had a lot of money on a Liverpool win.

Factor in a perfect season in Europe and a League Cup quarter final in two days time and I was shocked when he was sacked. I really didn't believe Levy would back his man with £100m of signings and prepare for a transitional season then sack him in December, 6 points off 2nd. I was so confident that he would stay for the time being that I laid £40 on his sacking. The win percentages show him to be our second winningest (to use a horrible American sports term) manager of all time, bettered only by a man who left the club in the 19th century. Last season we set our highest ever points total in Premier League history, 7 months later AVB's out of a job. The next manager markets make for painful reading. According to SkyBet, the 4 men most likely to be our next manager are, in descending order of likelihood, a man who has never, ever managed at a professional level, a 67 year old who enjoyed most of his success playing dull football while I was in primary school, a man who has taken Swansea firmly backwards over the past 12 months, and a return for a man whose last managerial gig was 8 years ago with Wolves. And that's not even mentioning his terrifying 532 with Townsend in the hole plan for Spurs, or his disdain for the disabled and their sins in a past life.

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But then I tried to decide if it really was all a results business. Were the performances we'd regularly put in over his 16 month tenure really worthy of lots of positive results? If replicated into the future would we continue to see the same good results? In other words, there are only so many times we can win games 1-0 with a Soldado penalty. I think we've used our quota up for this year. Eventually, putting in the same type of performance against similar opposition is just going to end up 0-0. Last year we were 'Bale-d out' (haahahhahahahahahaha) repeatedly in games where we'd look dire for the majority of the match only for the simian looking motherfucker to shift past 3 defenders and unleash a 30 yard thunderbastard. Spurs 1 Lower Midtable Team 0. We have 8 league wins this season. Only two are by a margin of more than one goal (both 2-0 wins against Norwich and Aston Villa). Three are three 1-0 Soldado penalty wins. One was a cumbersome performance saved by a 90th minute Paulinho winner. One was decided by a John O'Shea own goal. One was won by two screamers. Swansea are the best team we've beaten this season (1-0 Soldado penalty, but you guessed that). There is an argument to be made that AVB's incredible looking win percentage is made to look very high by winning games we didn't really deserve to win. By sheer luck that will eventually run out.

Often when we played we simply seemed to lack ideas. The players appeared to have very little idea what the strategy was. What the team was trying to do. How we were going to win this game. In no single game did this seem more apparent than the Liverpool defeat that saw him sacked. The lack of ideas in the final third was an issue for the entirety of AVB's reign. Soldado, Adebayor and Defoe have scored 1 goal from open play in 1534, minutes of league football this season. That's one goal every 1534 minutes, maths fans. Last year Adebayor and Defoe scored a combined 16 goals in 4009 minutes, a goal every 251 minutes between them. Combined, that's a goal every 326 minutes over the course of AVB's tenure, about one every four games. While many felt that AVB was let down by a terrible year from Adebayor last year, pointing to his tendency to lose interest after signing a new contract, was the reverse actually more accurate? Let's not repaint history, Adebayor looked dreadful at times last year, but no striker since Falcao was terrorising the Portuguese league has thrived in an AVB system. In any case, if the 2011/12 Adebayor really was consumed by a lack of giving a shit, isn't it AVB's job to motivate him?

And can you really excuse him of blame with regards to the Liverpool game just because of injuries? The lineup he selected was about as good defensively as was possible given the players available, but there were still many steps he could've taken to avoid the thrashing that occurred. Firstly, loaning out Assou Ekotto seemed ridiculous in August, and seems more and more ridiculous every time Kyle Naughton starts at left back, or Jan Vertonghen is forced to play out of his favoured position, weakening our back four and giving him reasons to want to leave the club in the summer. Furthermore, the lack of defensive alternative meant that, in the two months prior to his injury, Vertonghen had played 1039 of Spurs' 1110 minutes, rested for just 71 minutes; on the bench away in Tromso. In spite of the necessity to play a central defensive pairing of Dawson and Etienne Capoue against Liverpool, AVB didn't change anything. He still played his usual high line. And Dawson and Capoue were ripped through time and time again. At 0-2, AVB took off Moussa Dembele and bizarrely brought on a third winger in Andros Townsend, leaving a midfield partnership of Lewis Holtby and Paulinho to protect a low on confidence, makeshift back four. £30m Erik Lamela, who has some experience of playing in a central position for River Plate, was left on the bench, along with Gylfi Sigurdsson.

Against Inter Milan last year, AVB showed a stubbornness to change his preferred tactics when personnel simply don't fit them, as William Gallas and Brad Friedel struggled with the high line they were instructed to play. Time and time and time again Antonio Cassano lofted balls over the defence for Palacio to rush on to. It's a miracle we won that tie. Fans such as myself, who wanted the manager to succeed so badly, pointed to AVB's youth as an indicator he would learn from naive mistakes and improve in the future. I think that's really the issue. For nearly the entirety of AVB's stint at Spurs fans have been assuring themselves things will pick up. The football will improve, the mistakes will become rarer, the goals will flow. Give it time. When things didn't improve excuses were created. Bedding in new players takes time, injuries have crippled us, the tactics will start making more sense. But they haven't. And in his sacking, the harsh reality I am left to face is that AVB hasn't learned from his mistakes. We weren't improving. There was no evidence to suggest we were close or even able to improve from the turgid performances being played out every week. With him sacked I realise I have spent weeks creating poor excuses for him and trying to convince myself he was working. I can't really do it any more. I can't excuse how bad we really have been for a long time.

He seems a lovely chap. He's definitely done a lot of things right. But we were not playing well. We haven't put in a really good performance against Premier League standard opposition since early March. Watching Spurs has almost been a chore at times, even when not watching Michael Dawson turned by a world class striker for the 5th or 6th time. I wish AVB all the best in the future but the sacking is what's best for Spurs. My only fear is the dire lack of good alternatives we are likely to hire. Maybe anything would be better than AVB? Tim Sherwood faces West Ham at home on Wednesday in what seems our best chance at silverware this year. Surely he can't do worse than his predecessor did in the same league fixture?
 
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