Very simple way of thinking about it Guids ie "he got it wrong". The circumstances of the game changed within 3 minutes. Beyond that every, and I mean every, lineup and tactical plan is a best guess at how a game will go. To quote the great philosopher Michael G. Tyson "everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth". This ain't subbuteo or fucking FIFA. The game is dynamic and you don't really have a clue of what's to come until it comes. But you are welcomed to parrot the Jamie Redknapp level of reasoning if you'd like.
And to put your thesis to the test let's pick out a game where you tell me when the coach has gotten it wrong (and what he's gotten wrong) ahead of time and we'll watch to see it play out. Deal? See, because I value prospective viewpoints not this this poor hindsighty BS. Especially when it lacks nuance.