From what I understand from the limited information that is being provided; ENIC are not looking to sell a controlling stake of the club; but rather looking for external investors to buy a minority stake in the club.
In Sept 2019, the club refinanced its loans to the tune of approx 700m. A further loan of 175m was taken from the BOE to see us through the COVID crisis. My expectation is that we are looking to clear this debt in exchange for a 1/3rd stake in the club.
Over the life time of the loans, the club was looking at approx 300m in interest payers; so clearing the debt would be of significant interest to the club; with the deal cost us an average of £37m-a-year until 2042 to pay off the full amount.
I don’t believe this is right. The stadium finance is “good debt” - long term and at rates fixed when interest rates were at an all time low. it would be madness to clear this debt. Think about it like having a fixed rate mortgage on your house for the 25 year term. over time your income increases but the monthly repayments remain the same.
There are two ways for QSI to buy a minority interest in THFC. Either ENIC sells part of its circa. 90% shareholding or THFC plc issues new shares to QSI.
Let’s say THFC is worth £3.3bil and QSI buys a 30% shareholding in either model mentioned above.
If ENIC sells 30% of existing holding 90% holding
ENIC receives £1bil
QSI owns 30% of a business worth £3.3bil = £1bil of paper value
ENIC owns circa. 60% of a business worth £3.3bil = £2bil of paper value
Small shareholders own the balance of circa. £300m paper value
if THFC issues 30% of new shares to QSI
ENIC receives nothing
QSI owns 30% of a business worth £3.3bil = £1bil of paper value
ENIC owns circa. 60% of a business worth £3.3bil = £2bil of paper value
Small shareholders own the balance of circa. £300m paper value
THFC receives £1bn to invest in cinemas, apartment blocks and the occasional player
my view
Doing the latter dilutes the shareholding that ENIC holds in THFC without receiving any value. However you could say that injecting £1bil into THFC increases the value of the asset. Theoretically from £3.3bil to £4.3bil but 7nfortunatrly it doesn’t quite work like that.
Given Lewis transferred the 70% shareholding he has in ENIC to his kids at the back end of last year and therefore selling part of the ENIC stake in THFC as part of his personal succession planning is much more likely than trying to get a big cash injection so we can have a wild splurge on the transfer market.
sorry to disappoint. I highly doubt that QSI coming in will be a Santa Claus for our transfer Kitty.