How to achieve 68 points?

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Burko said:
The scum need 5 wins to get to 68 points right?

I can see them dealing with Norwich, Wigan, Fulham and QPR fairly comfortably, picking up at least a point against Newcastle, Everton and West Brom, and depending on Man Utd's motivation for their game, they could take something from them as well....

Them going unbeaten from now on isn't far fetched.

Maybe i'm being pessimistic, but I see them finishing with 70-72 points.

I reckon if we're finishing 4th, it's above Chelsea, and reliant on our game with them (must not lose)
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at Loftus Road, that's far from guaranteed.
 
Sean said:
You're both forgetting QPR's secret weapon ......................agent JJ .
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3835-animated_gif-dean_winchester-sam_winchester-supernatural.gif
 
Burko said:
You know how it goes T, these teams put up a decent fight against us, but when that lot turn up with their tickling stick, they all roll over and play nice.
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QPR turned them over at this time last season, same weekend we beat Swansea - I can see QPR making it very difficult for most teams at Loftus Road. Newcastle away on the final game of the season won't be easy at all...in fact, I think their game in hand could well stuff them up, too.

The scum going unbeaten isn't too far fetched but likewise, them dropping points to QPR, Newcastle, United, Everton, QPR and West Brom would hardly raise eyebrows.
 
Squeaky bum time. With their draw at the weekend Liverpool can no longer achieve the 68 points and it's becoming near impossible to catch us. It will be hard for Everton too, especially with their remaining fixtures.

Teams will drop points, but who will drop points where? Chelsea, Spurs and Woolwich are all looking like they could get past 68 points this season, but that can change fast!
How many points do the teams need to achieve 68 points this season?

3. Chavs G31 P58
Chavs need another 10 points from 7 games.
P.p.g. so far this season: 1,87
P.p.g. needed remaining 7 games to get 68 points: 1,43
Home games remaining: 3: Spurs, Swansea, Everton
Away games remaining: 4: Fulham, Liverpool, Manchester United, Aston Villa

4. Spurs G32 P58
Spurs need another 10 points from 6 games.
P.p.g. so far this season: 1,81
P.p.g. needed remaining 6 games to get 68 points: 1,67
Home games remaining: 3: Man City, Southampton, Sunderland
Away games remaining: 3: Chelsea, Wigan, Stoke

5. Scum G31 P56
Scum need another 12 points from 7 games.
P.p.g. so far this season: 1,81
P.p.g. needed remaining 7 games to get 68 points: 1,71
Home games remaining: 4: Everton, Norwich, Man United, Wigan
Away games remaining: 3: Fulham, QPR, Newcastle

6. Everton G31 P52
Everton need another 16 points from 7 games.
P.p.g. so far this season: 1,68
P.p.g. needed remaining 7 games to get 68 points: 2,29
Home games remaining: 3: QPR, Fulham, West Ham
Away games remaining: 4: Woolwich, Sunderland, Liverpool, Chelsea

7. Liverpool G32 P49
Liverpool can get a maximum of 18 points from 6 games.
P.p.g. so far this season: 1,53
P.p.g. needed remaining 6 games to get 68 points: - Maximum achieveable points is 67 points
Home games remaining: 3: Chelsea, Everton, QPR
Away games remaining: 3: Reading, Newcastle, Fulham
 
Game to game monitor: 68 points are 1 point behind last year's finish.
Game to game monitor: 68 points are 0 points ahead of 68 points, which has been enough to end up in the top 4 for all of the last 17 seasons (20 team league).
Current points per game over a season: 68.88 points
Points per game 0.12 points behind of last season's finish (69)
Points per game 1.53 points ahead of average 4th position (67.35)
Points per game 6.41 points ahead of average 5th position (62.47)
Points per game 0.88 points ahead historical top 4 guaranteed points total (68)

Points total
Points 68
Points per game 68.88
Historic top 4 points 68
Last season points 69
Average 4th position 67.35
Average 5th position 62.47

How is this season compared with the rest of the PL-seasons?1st 59 points (69p) 2011-12
2nd 58 points (70p) 2009-10
2nd 58 points (?p) 2012-13
4th 55 points (65p) 2005-06
5th 54 points (62p) 2010-11
5th 54 points (61p) 1995-96
 
eanN17 said:
Game to game monitor: 68 points are 1 point behind last year's finish.
Game to game monitor: 68 points are 0 points ahead of 68 points, which has been enough to end up in the top 4 for all of the last 17 seasons (20 team
Current points per game over a season: 68.88 points
Points per game 0.12 points behind of last season's finish (69)
Points per game 1.53 points ahead of average 4th position (67.35)
Points per game 6.41 points ahead of average 5th position (62.47)
Points per game 0.88 points ahead historical top 4 guaranteed points total (68)

Points total
Points 68
Points per game 68.88
Historic top 4 points 68
Last season points 69
Average 4th position 67.35
Average 5th position 62.47

How is this season compared with the rest of the PL-seasons?1st 59 points (69p) 2011-12
2nd 58 points (70p) 2009-10
2nd 58 points (?p) 2012-13
4th 55 points (65p) 2005-06
5th 54 points (62p) 2010-11
5th 54 points (61p) 1995-96
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I dot understand that last bit at all! :walker:
 
But this doesn't factor the strength of the opposition, or like for like comparisons for the respective home/away results from previous seasons.

It doesn't factor form of the opponents we are due to play, or indeed the form of the opponents for the games we have played, it also cannot accommodate for injuries, player sales / acquisitions, or any other number of factors which could either positively or negatively affect the previous 32 or the next 6 games. It also doesn't allow for skew as you cannot win 1.78 points if you win a game and so it is too small a sample size to be predictable.

Which still means that there is statistically nothing that can be derived at this time. There is no proof, only conjecture.


Nothing can be derived, the only thing we know is how many points we are on.


Please make it stop now, for the love of god (other mythical deities are available from all good stores) and all the ostriches.
 
This can only be fixed with the involvement of the development a super clever algorithm statistical based software application.
Sorry eanN17 eanN17 we need the real deal. Its time to move over.
computer-geek.gif
 
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